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Kerby Joseph extension projection: What the NFL’s interception leader could cost the Lions this offseason and why it’s a lot.D

Kerby Joseph’s Rise: A Breakout Star Ready for a Big Payday

As the 2024 NFL season wraps up, the Detroit Lions face some critical decisions regarding contract extensions for several players. While there are numerous candidates, one player stands out above the rest: Kerby Joseph. His remarkable progress this season has turned heads, and his development is undeniable. Now, as he enters the conversation for a major contract extension, the question is no longer if he deserves it, but when he’ll get it.

Montgomery's 1-yard touchdown run in OT lifts Lions to 26-20 win over Rams  – KXAN Austin

From Lucky Interceptions to Elite Anticipation

Let’s start by addressing Joseph’s impressive 2024 performance. Yes, leading the league in interceptions is a significant achievement, and we can debate its value. Some of those interceptions might seem “lucky,” perhaps tipped into his hands or deflected off receivers. However, this wasn’t the case for Joseph. His standout skill this season was anticipation—an ability to read plays before they developed and consistently be in the right place at the right time.

I remember an interview with NBA legend Dennis Rodman, where he described how he studied the ball’s trajectory off the rim to anticipate where he needed to be to secure a rebound. In 2024, Kerby Joseph became the NFL’s version of that. He seemed to always know where the ball was going, positioning himself perfectly to make plays. Watching him on film, especially the All-22 tape, you can see his knack for getting to the spot at the precise moment. He was practically baiting quarterbacks into making throws that he knew he could capitalize on.

Takeaways from Lions' 15-9 win against Packers – The Oakland Press

A Glimpse Into Joseph’s Future: Multiple All-Pro Seasons Ahead

What excites me most about Joseph’s growth is that his ability to anticipate isn’t a fluke or a one-time occurrence. This kind of development is sustainable. It’s not just about interceptions; it’s about his understanding of the game, his football IQ, and his ability to consistently be in the right place. I believe this season was just a preview of things to come. Joseph isn’t just set for one standout season; he’s primed for multiple All-Pro years, continuing to rack up interceptions and game-changing plays throughout his career.

That’s why, when projecting his contract extension, I’m confident in saying that Joseph’s future is bright. The Lions have found a gem who could become one of the league’s top safeties for years to come.

A Big Payday Is on the Horizon

As we all know, talent like Joseph’s doesn’t come cheap. After his breakout season, it’s clear that he’s due for a hefty contract extension. To figure out what that could look like, I worked with cap expert Joshua Queipo to come up with a projection. Here’s what we arrived at:

A four-year deal worth $82 million, with $46 million guaranteed and $40 million fully guaranteed, averaging $20.5 million per year.

This deal would make Joseph the second-highest-paid safety in the NFL, just behind Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. Once Kyle Hamilton signs his new deal, Joseph will likely slide into third place in the rankings. However, by that time, Joseph’s contract could look like a steal in comparison to others in the market.

Detroit Lions are finally good? Hype is soaring for 2023 NFL season

The Future of Joseph’s Contract: An Ongoing Journey

While some might argue that Joseph should be the highest-paid safety in the league, I believe that ranking will come in due time. Hamilton and Winfield Jr. have proven themselves over several seasons, whereas Joseph is just starting to enter his prime. However, if his development continues at this rate, he could surpass both of them in the long run—time will tell.

In any case, this extension would be a major win for Joseph, locking him in with the Lions through the 2028 season, when he’ll still be just 28 years old. That’s young enough to potentially secure another big deal later in his career, further solidifying his place among the NFL’s elite safeties.

Conclusion: A Star in the Making

Kerby Joseph’s rise in 2024 was nothing short of spectacular. His ability to anticipate plays and consistently be in the right position makes him one of the most promising young players in the NFL. With a well-deserved contract extension on the horizon, Joseph is poised to become one of the league’s top safeties for years to come. The future looks bright for both Joseph and the Detroit Lions, and fans can expect to see him make a lasting impact on the field for seasons to come.

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