Star running back’s return could spoil veteran QB’s playoff hopes in primetime finale -bb

The stage is set for an NFC North showdown of epic proportions as the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings both enter Week 18 with matching 14-2 records. There’s plenty on the line in this matchup, with the winner claiming the division title, the NFC’s No. 1 seed, home-field advantage in the playoffs, and a crucial first-round bye. It’s no wonder the NFL flexed this clash to cap off the regular season as part of “Sunday Night Football.”

Detroit Lions best bet: Jahmyr Gibbs goes off against Green Bay

Let’s revisit the blueprint from their previous meeting in Week 7, where the Lions managed to pull off a victory. We’ll dive into the key strategies that paid dividends for Detroit and explore adjustments necessary for this upcoming encounter.

Key 1: Ground and Pound Early

Back in Week 7, establishing the run was pivotal for the Lions, even if it took a bit to find its stride. Initially down by 10 points, the Lions wrangled the momentum by amassing 84 rushing yards in the second quarter alone, with rookie Jahmyr Gibbs accounting for 75 of those.

Despite the absence of David Montgomery, who’s on injured reserve, Gibbs has been a revelation, stepping up when the team needed him the most. The offensive line has been stellar, providing space for the backs to gain 1.75 yards before contact, a seasonal sixth-best stat across the NFL.

Jahmyr Gibbs Top Plays of the 2023 Season - YouTube

Detroit faces a stiff test, as Minnesota’s defense excels at curbing the run. The Vikings have allowed just 0.94 yards per rush, the third-best in the league.

However, cracks have appeared, evidenced by their concessions in recent games. Encouragingly for Detroit, in their prior meeting, Gibbs torched the Vikings for 116 yards and two touchdowns on the ground, contributing heavily to a total of 144 rushing yards for the team.

Key 2: Goff and the Offensive Line—Preparation and Patience

Against a formidable Vikings’ defense, the Lions know the O-line must give Jared Goff the time he needs to work his magic. His sharpness was on display in Week 7, recording a 22 of 25 passing stat line for 280 yards and two touchdowns, despite being pressured 16 times in that game.

With the return of a fully healthy offensive line and Kevin Zeitler back at right guard, there’s optimism that Goff can maintain his recent high-flying form—a passer rating over 100 in his last five outings being a testament to his consistency. The Lions’ offense coordinator, Ben Johnson, praises Goff’s savvy, knack for pre-snap reads, and his embrace of pressure situations.

Key 3: Dial-Up Pressure

Applying interior pressure didn’t exactly pan out for Detroit in their previous matchup, but the Lions resorted to blitzing from the linebacker ranks which yielded four sacks. With Alim McNeill sidelined, Detroit has compensated by ramping up its blitz rate to 42.9% in recent games.

This aggressive tactic aims to disrupt the opposition’s rhythm and force mistakes. While the shift has gathered more quarterback pressures, turning these into sacks remains an area for improvement.

Keeping Sam Darnold off-balance will be crucial to prevent him from picking apart the secondary.

Key 4: Turnover Edge

Although the turnover battle ended in a stalemate on paper last time around, the Vikings exploited a Lions’ turnover to take the lead. As both teams have slightly cooled off in turnover production, whoever wins this critical element could steer the game’s outcome.

Detroit ranks fourth in turnover margin, closely followed by the Vikings in sixth. Goff’s care with the ball has been notable: only one pick thrown in the past seven games, starkly contrasting with opposing turnovers his defense has forced.

Bringing this momentum into Week 18 could be the X-factor, as every possession counts in such a high-stakes game.

Quickfire Adjustments

For Detroit, maintaining their scoring prowess will be key. They’ve averaged 34 points in their recent contests, surpassing their own impressive seasonal stats.

Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Meanwhile, the Vikings have stayed true to form with consistent offensive outputs. The Lions’ strategy will hinge on balancing a solid running game, Goff’s poise, and defensive aggression to disrupt Minnesota’s game plan.

With so much on the line, this final clash of the regular season promises to be a nail-biter. Both teams have the tools and talents to decide proceedings in their favor.

The question remains: who will rise to the occasion and etch their name into NFC North lore this time around? Let Sunday night reveal the answer.

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